0x261c26c492bc9452493b3e1c792f26b2e90ed7c1cd6f49f0cb7330b40145bde0
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?” trades at 8% YES on Polymarket with $277.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 7.5% · CLOB volume $277.1k · whales 24h net $3.2k (36 wallets) · 7d net $43.3k · 2/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
7.5%
Yes
Implied No
92.5%
No
Volume
$277.1k
CLOB
Traders
332
1,525 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
7.0% → 7.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.2k
Buy
$9.4k
Sell
$6.2k
Whales
36
Last 7 days
Net flow
$43.3k
Buy
$89.0k
Sell
$45.6k
Whales
108
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8afa…adb6 | $81.9k | $76.7k | $5.1k | $-71.6k |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | $39.9k | $3.2k | $36.8k | $33.6k |
| 0x453a…81d2 | $30.7k | $3.8k | $26.9k | $23.1k |
| 0x836f…906e | $24.1k | $12.7k | $11.4k | $-1.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3df…6f87 | 854 | $693.9k | $-2.0k | 3 |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | 407 | $604.3k | $-73.3k | 4 |
| 0x5297…7b99 | 1,240 | $543.8k | $-384.2k | 4 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 204 | $523.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 10 total · Event board
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
open · $277.1k
7.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open · $1.21M
1.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
closed · $17.37M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
closed · $13.46M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
closed · $11.19M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
closed · $8.45M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
closed · $7.79M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
closed · $6.27M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
closed · $5.92M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
closed · $1.12M
0.0%
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $11.5k | $8.9k | $2.6k | $-6.4k |
| 0x9d73…216b | $11.2k | $11.2k | $0 | $-11.2k |
| 0xe27c…51db | $7.5k | $4.4k | $3.1k | $-1.3k |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $6.2k | $4.0k | $2.2k | $-1.9k |
| 0xfd07…ce86 | $6.1k | $3.1k | $3.1k | $29 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $6.0k | $5.1k | $913 | $-4.2k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $5.9k | $3.8k | $2.1k | $-1.7k |
| 0xeb77…4e6b | $5.4k | $5.4k | $0 | $-5.4k |
| $-339.0k |
| 3 |
| 0x8afa…adb6 | 474 | $453.7k | $-419.2k | 4 |
| 0xa5fd…36d1 | 455 | $283.6k | $37.9k | 4 |
| 0x9116…6fda | 56 | $243.7k | $-162.6k | 2 |
| 0x7d22…f0cf | 48 | $240.8k | $-130.8k | 2 |
| 0xadc2…d1c9 | 5 | $216.8k | $-1.8k | 1 |
| 0x162f…798d | 137 | $200.9k | $-56.3k | 3 |
