0x36511fb29c3775d1822da8973744ab264334a1fced738b3af390dadc0136b50c
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $18.1k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 3.0% · CLOB volume $18.1k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $4.7k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.0%
Yes
Implied No
97.0%
No
Volume
$18.1k
CLOB
Traders
72
357 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$4.7k
Buy
$8.3k
Sell
$3.7k
Whales
45
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6fdc…3869 | $6.8k | $3.6k | $3.2k | $-430 |
| 0xa4b3…87b8 | $5.4k | $952 | $4.4k | $3.4k |
| 0x5a21…9318 | $3.5k | $1.9k | $1.7k | $-197 |
| 0x4ffe…9f71 | $2.0k | $2.0k | $14 | $-2.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa4b3…87b8 | 241 | $28.1k | $3.7k | 5 |
| 0x5287…3a16 | 83 | $15.4k | $-12.2k | 4 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | 265 | $14.0k | $2.9k | 5 |
| 0x80a4…22cc | 151 | $10.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
open · $40.2k
59.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
open · $44.5k
23.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
open · $77.1k
10.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
open · $37.3k
3.3%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
open · $18.1k
3.0%
| 0xf80e…2af8 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $12 | $-1.1k |
| 0x5533…51ba | $714 | $714 | $0 | $-714 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $707 | $707 | $0 | $-707 |
| 0xf6ea…0a00 | $645 | $645 | $0 | $-645 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $535 | $528 | $7 | $-521 |
| 0x1284…3694 | $528 | $528 | $0 | $-528 |
| 0xcaab…24dd | $481 | $481 | $0 | $-481 |
| 0x8373…f0bc | $370 | $365 | $5 | $-360 |
| $-3.2k |
| 4 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 159 | $8.6k | $-8.6k | 5 |
| 0x6fdc…3869 | 19 | $7.0k | $-359 | 2 |
| 0xbe89…b88c | 19 | $6.8k | $-1.2k | 1 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 136 | $6.2k | $-2.8k | 5 |
| 0xbc14…ea95 | 4 | $5.8k | $3.2k | 1 |
| 0xcdb1…276c | 22 | $5.6k | $-1.2k | 2 |