0x0803a58234321c233638a03d046447ed6915a5b94ca2e5ff01b215fd2ada868b
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?” trades at 24% YES on Polymarket with $44.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 23.5% · CLOB volume $44.5k · whales 24h net $4.9k (8 wallets) · 7d net $9.4k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
23.5%
Yes
Implied No
76.5%
No
Volume
$44.5k
CLOB
Traders
127
438 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
23.0% → 23.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.9k
Buy
$5.9k
Sell
$1.1k
Whales
8
Last 7 days
Net flow
$9.4k
Buy
$17.5k
Sell
$8.1k
Whales
98
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbc14…ea95 | $5.8k | $1.3k | $4.5k | $3.2k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $4.6k | $4.6k | $0 | $-4.6k |
| 0x5a21…9318 | $2.8k | $440 | $2.3k | $1.9k |
| 0x80a4…22cc | $2.5k | $1.9k | $597 | $-1.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa4b3…87b8 | 241 | $28.1k | $3.7k | 5 |
| 0x5287…3a16 | 83 | $15.4k | $-12.2k | 4 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | 265 | $14.0k | $2.9k | 5 |
| 0x80a4…22cc | 151 | $10.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
open · $40.2k
59.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
open · $44.5k
23.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
open · $77.1k
10.5%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
open · $18.1k
3.0%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
open · $37.3k
2.4%
| 0x76db…6987 | $2.3k | $475 | $1.8k | $1.4k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $2.2k | $2.2k | $0 | $-2.2k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $2.0k | $1.3k | $775 | $-489 |
| 0xa4b3…87b8 | $1.7k | $1.3k | $472 | $-783 |
| 0xde5a…2251 | $769 | $624 | $145 | $-479 |
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | $668 | $201 | $467 | $266 |
| 0x7d78…ffa6 | $604 | $104 | $500 | $396 |
| 0x9a01…6cff | $596 | $50 | $546 | $496 |
| $-3.2k |
| 4 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 159 | $8.6k | $-8.6k | 5 |
| 0x6fdc…3869 | 19 | $7.0k | $-359 | 2 |
| 0xbe89…b88c | 19 | $6.8k | $-1.2k | 1 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 136 | $6.2k | $-2.8k | 5 |
| 0xbc14…ea95 | 4 | $5.8k | $3.2k | 1 |
| 0xcdb1…276c | 22 | $5.6k | $-1.2k | 2 |
