0x3a311da04811ff7c8e003f14cd0ea80a7b95b51812b604228866874e3cd002bd
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?” trades at 34% YES on Polymarket with $13.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 33.5% · CLOB volume $13.2k · whales 24h net $677 (19 wallets) · 7d net $4.1k · 4/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
33.5%
Yes
Implied No
66.5%
No
Volume
$13.2k
CLOB
Traders
85
407 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
38.0% → 37.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$677
Buy
$1.4k
Sell
$683
Whales
19
Last 7 days
Net flow
$4.1k
Buy
$7.5k
Sell
$3.5k
Whales
57
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x34db…1b63 | $6.0k | $2.5k | $3.4k | $931 |
| 0xf08b…517f | $3.2k | $1.6k | $1.6k | $6 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $2.2k | $1.5k | $670 | $-817 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $1.6k | $1.3k | $288 | $-996 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x34db…1b63 | 252 | $13.4k | $1.9k | 4 |
| 0xf08b…517f | 94 | $3.2k | $6 | 1 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 40 | $2.8k | $-2.1k | 2 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 34 | $2.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?
open · $15.0k
61.5%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
open · $13.2k
33.5%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?
open · $2.6k
4.3%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?
open · $2.2k
0.4%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?
closed · $821
0.1%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $827 | $827 | $0 | $-827 |
| 0x6406…bc04 | $726 | $676 | $50 | $-625 |
| 0x82fb…bed6 | $712 | $515 | $197 | $-318 |
| 0x0f99…6734 | $662 | $473 | $189 | $-283 |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4 | $458 | $458 | $0 | $-458 |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5 | $444 | $253 | $191 | $-62 |
| 0xfbed…a665 | $313 | $157 | $156 | $-1 |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | $290 | $290 | $0 | $-290 |
| $-893 |
| 2 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 34 | $1.5k | $-1.5k | 4 |
| 0x2128…f203 | 19 | $1.5k | $-33 | 1 |
| 0x82fb…bed6 | 37 | $1.4k | $-615 | 2 |
| 0xbaaa…90a4 | 37 | $1.3k | $-41 | 1 |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | 28 | $1.3k | $-429 | 2 |
| 0xbd14…76b4 | 31 | $1.1k | $-397 | 2 |
