0xdd754c3696e87d9d0a1b3fd246af196e505e96b88038391012295b80d0d23752
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $2.6k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.3% · CLOB volume $2.6k · whales 24h net $326 (12 wallets) · 7d net $484 · 4/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.3%
Yes
Implied No
95.7%
No
Volume
$2.6k
CLOB
Traders
29
74 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
4.7% → 2.6% (-2.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$326
Buy
$339
Sell
$13
Whales
12
Last 7 days
Net flow
$484
Buy
$774
Sell
$290
Whales
18
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x34db…1b63 | $313 | $84 | $229 | $145 |
| 0xcee6…8233 | $168 | $11 | $158 | $147 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $136 | $136 | $0 | $-136 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | $119 | $98 | $20 | $-78 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x34db…1b63 | 252 | $13.4k | $1.9k | 4 |
| 0xf08b…517f | 94 | $3.2k | $6 | 1 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 40 | $2.8k | $-2.1k | 2 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 34 | $2.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?
open · $15.0k
61.5%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
open · $13.2k
33.5%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?
open · $2.6k
4.3%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?
open · $2.2k
0.4%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?
closed · $821
0.1%
| 0xfe2d…da35 | $110 | $105 | $4 | $-101 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | $104 | $101 | $2 | $-99 |
| 0x510f…a43c | $89 | $89 | $0 | $-89 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $65 | $62 | $3 | $-60 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $61 | $59 | $2 | $-56 |
| 0xc518…2594 | $55 | $55 | $0 | $-55 |
| 0x45e6…c078 | $53 | $53 | $0 | $-53 |
| 0xe040…824f | $50 | $48 | $2 | $-47 |
| $-893 |
| 2 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 34 | $1.5k | $-1.5k | 4 |
| 0x2128…f203 | 19 | $1.5k | $-33 | 1 |
| 0x82fb…bed6 | 37 | $1.4k | $-615 | 2 |
| 0xbaaa…90a4 | 37 | $1.3k | $-41 | 1 |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | 28 | $1.3k | $-429 | 2 |
| 0xbd14…76b4 | 31 | $1.1k | $-397 | 2 |
