0x129cfab9b84e98f654c8526c3d9769644ec54d5d75ba16e782dc52321cc59a3a
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $2.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.4% · CLOB volume $2.2k · whales 24h net $336 (13 wallets) · 7d net $510 · 4/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.4%
Yes
Implied No
99.7%
No
Volume
$2.2k
CLOB
Traders
29
114 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.9% → 0.3% (-0.6pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$336
Buy
$338
Sell
$2
Whales
13
Last 7 days
Net flow
$510
Buy
$740
Sell
$230
Whales
18
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x34db…1b63 | $384 | $163 | $221 | $58 |
| 0xcee6…8233 | $251 | $3 | $247 | $244 |
| 0x7474…cef7 | $201 | $201 | $0 | $-201 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | $161 | $160 | $1 | $-159 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x34db…1b63 | 252 | $13.4k | $1.9k | 4 |
| 0xf08b…517f | 94 | $3.2k | $6 | 1 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 40 | $2.8k | $-2.1k | 2 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 34 | $2.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?
open · $15.0k
61.5%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
open · $13.2k
33.5%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?
open · $2.6k
4.3%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?
open · $2.2k
0.4%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?
closed · $821
0.1%
| 0xfe2d…da35 | $145 | $144 | $1 | $-143 |
| 0x75cb…1556 | $127 | $127 | $0 | $-127 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | $116 | $116 | $0 | $-116 |
| 0x9f20…12c3 | $100 | $100 | $0 | $-100 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $100 | $100 | $0 | $-100 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $65 | $65 | $0 | $-64 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $65 | $64 | $0 | $-64 |
| 0x28bf…4a4e | $50 | $49 | $0 | $-49 |
| $-893 |
| 2 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 34 | $1.5k | $-1.5k | 4 |
| 0x2128…f203 | 19 | $1.5k | $-33 | 1 |
| 0x82fb…bed6 | 37 | $1.4k | $-615 | 2 |
| 0xbaaa…90a4 | 37 | $1.3k | $-41 | 1 |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | 28 | $1.3k | $-429 | 2 |
| 0xbd14…76b4 | 31 | $1.1k | $-397 | 2 |
