Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election?

0x9c9bd0a3df0bb55058514ef3a248ed5a9d976cd71049de968504bbca51132156

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $5.3k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 2/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$5.3k

CLOB

Traders

13 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($5.3k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

13 shown

NOBUY2026-07-27 05:37:31

99.9¢$68

NOBUY2026-07-27 05:37:31

100.1¢$68

NOBUY2026-07-26 22:43:36

100000.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-26 22:43:36

100.1¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-26 22:42:46

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xd218…b5c9	$144	$80	$64	$-16
0x74f1…16a8	$135	$68	$68	$0
0x45ce…ef95	$130	$100	$30	$-70
0x6a2f…7105	$64	$64	$0	$-64

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x77fb…266c	399	$446.0k	$-257.3k	2
0xfb51…742d	183	$261.7k	$-106.6k	2
0x22e4…ef1c	100	$214.3k	$-98.6k	2
0x0224…292a	95	$170.1k

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