Will Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election?

0x99f639332146d4382246f4ad78cd55bb76c29cc48a317c4d546bd7019be61d98

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $5.4k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 2/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$5.4k

CLOB

Traders

5 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($5.4k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

5 shown

NOBUY2026-07-26 22:42:30

100.1¢$100

NOBUY2026-07-26 22:42:30

100000.0¢$100

NOBUY2026-07-26 14:54:39

100.1¢$96

NOBUY2026-07-26 14:54:39

100000.0¢$34

NOBUY2026-07-26 14:54:39

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x45ce…ef95	$200	$100	$100	$0
0x70bc…a453	$191	$96	$96	$0
0x9f20…12c3	$134	$134	$0	$-134
0x764b…6bad	$61	$61	$0	$-61

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x77fb…266c	399	$446.0k	$-257.3k	2
0xfb51…742d	183	$261.7k	$-106.6k	2
0x22e4…ef1c	100	$214.3k	$-98.6k	2
0x0224…292a	93	$160.7k

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