Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election?

0xe34e34ec7cc8030b7080ac543d48353f70380f10d63275fd1f4a9269a7bd489f

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $5.8k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $-623 · 2/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$5.8k

CLOB

Traders

11 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$-623

Buy

$1.2k

Sell

$1.8k

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•7d whale net negative ($-623)
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($5.8k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

11 shown

—BUY2026-08-03 14:03:27

0.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-03 14:03:27

100000.0¢$600

NOBUY2026-08-03 14:03:27

100000.0¢$25

NOBUY2026-08-03 14:03:27

100000.0¢$182

—BUY2026-07-30 09:26:54

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xa850…671c	$1.0k	$1	$999	$998
0x74f1…16a8	$999	$999	$0	$-999
0xe1e2…9629	$808	$1	$807	$806
0xd23f…94a1	$600	$600	$0	$-600

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x77fb…266c	399	$446.0k	$-257.3k	2
0xfb51…742d	183	$261.7k	$-106.6k	2
0x22e4…ef1c	100	$214.3k	$-98.6k	2
0x0224…292a	93	$160.7k

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