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Top open Polymarket books by 24h volume — tabs use Polymarket categories. Open any row for odds, whale flow and recent fills, or paste a link / id below.
48 markets · sorted by 24h volume · world
Polymarket Breaking ↗Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?24h $790.1k
25.5%
Yes
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Iran leader end of 2026?24h $389.3k
76.3%
Yes
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?24h $345.3k
1.4%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?24h $195.6k
1.8%
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)24h $189.3k
9.5%
Yes
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Israel closes its airspace by...?24h $170.5k
7.5%
Yes
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?24h $164.6k
13.5%
Yes
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Israel closes its airspace by...?24h $139.8k
20.5%
Yes
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?24h $137.5k
4.7%
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)24h $111.7k
18.5%
Yes
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
Iran invades Kuwait by...?24h $98.5k
4.3%
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?24h $97.7k
94.0%
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?24h $96.9k
99.4%
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?24h $96.3k
4.5%
Yes
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
Oleksandr Syrskyi out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by...?24h $96.2k
62.8%
Yes
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Iran leadership change by...?24h $95.1k
3.6%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?24h $92.2k
7.0%
Yes
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
Iran invades Kuwait by...?24h $90.8k
2.1%
Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?24h $89.4k
5.7%
Yes
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?24h $84.5k
55.5%
Yes
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?24h $83.6k
10.5%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?24h $78.3k
4.3%
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?24h $74.2k
73.5%
Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?24h $74.2k
17.0%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?24h $74.2k
6.8%
Yes
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?24h $70.7k
0.3%
Yes
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?24h $69.0k
9.5%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?24h $68.0k
10.5%
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?24h $68.0k
21.5%
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)24h $66.3k
0.1%
Yes
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?24h $65.2k
16.5%
Yes
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?
Oleksandr Syrskyi out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by...?24h $63.4k
88.6%
Yes
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?24h $63.1k
4.2%
Yes
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
China x Japan military clash before 2027?24h $61.8k
7.5%
Yes
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?24h $60.7k
88.6%
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?24h $58.9k
86.5%
Yes
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?24h $51.0k
0.1%
Yes
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?24h $50.8k
0.8%
Yes
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by...?24h $50.5k
16.5%
Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?24h $50.4k
21.5%
Yes
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?24h $50.0k
6.6%
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)24h $47.5k
51.5%
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?24h $46.6k
32.5%
Yes
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?24h $46.5k
0.3%
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?24h $45.7k
12.0%
Yes
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?24h $45.0k
1.8%
Yes
Trump out as President before 2027?
Trump out as President before 2027?24h $44.8k
7.5%
Yes
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?24h $41.2k
32.5%
Yes