US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

0x659bff8b341ee3f74dfd82b1608bf37dff28501774f25dd48f93076621aa8f8a

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 2.6% · CLOB volume $506.9k · whales 24h net $38.5k (31 wallets) · 7d net $88.4k · 6/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

2.6%

Yes

Implied No

97.4%

Volume

$506.9k

CLOB

Traders

512

2,185 trades

Yes 2.6%No 97.4%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$38.5k

Buy

$40.7k

Sell

$2.3k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$88.4k

Buy

$130.2k

Sell

$41.8k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($38.5k)
•7d whale net still positive ($88.4k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 2.6% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-20 16:21:27

102.9¢$200

NOBUY2026-07-20 16:21:27

3571.4¢$200

YESBUY2026-07-20 16:16:57

2.8¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-20 16:16:57

3571.4¢$57

NOBUY2026-07-20 14:18:12

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xbaa2…2c73	713	$664.1k	$-448.3k	4
0x0c0e…434e	276	$613.8k	$-221.1k	4
0xc8ab…6418	618	$600.9k	$-521.6k	6
0xdbf1…86b5	577	$542.1k

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