Iran leadership change by July 31?

0x0d3ad3afe0e01075d00e6869a09f1982742fba950b4cae8fff452b282b5a80fc

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 2.7% · CLOB volume $529.2k · whales 24h net $71.7k (73 wallets) · 7d net $181.3k · 3/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

2.7%

Yes

Implied No

97.3%

Volume

$529.2k

CLOB

Traders

233

1,010 trades

Yes 2.7%No 97.3%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$71.7k

Buy

$91.5k

Sell

$19.8k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$181.3k

Buy

$243.6k

Sell

$62.4k

Whales

142

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($71.7k)
•7d whale net still positive ($181.3k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 2.7% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-20 16:52:49

4715.4¢$220

YESBUY2026-07-20 16:52:49

2.1¢$4

YESBUY2026-07-20 16:52:49

2.2¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-20 16:33:33

4922.0¢$659

—BUY2026-07-20 16:33:33

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xdb35…b137	482	$903.6k	$299.4k	1
0xb076…07d3	215	$349.2k	$112.3k	1
0x1ecc…53a9	28	$123.9k	$9.8k	1
0xfb51…742d	144	$123.8k

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