NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 16.5% · CLOB volume $661.1k · whales 24h net $14.3k (52 wallets) · 7d net $23.1k · 1/4 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

16.5%

Yes

Implied No

83.5%

Volume

$661.1k

CLOB

Traders

1,141

5,874 trades

Yes 16.5%No 83.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$14.3k

Buy

$55.2k

Sell

$40.9k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$23.1k

Buy

$66.2k

Sell

$43.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($14.3k)
•7d whale net still positive ($23.1k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 16.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-07-21 03:07:49

17.0¢$15

NOBUY2026-07-21 03:07:49

588.2¢$88

NOBUY2026-07-21 03:02:52

625.0¢$657

NOBUY2026-07-21 03:02:52

119.0¢$20

YESBUY2026-07-21 03:02:52

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x3eae…e2ed	21	$66.1k	$-37.8k	2
0x44c1…ebc1	37	$51.7k	$30.4k	1
0x93fb…3e4a	132	$46.5k	$21.8k	1
0xfc75…8604	48	$44.6k

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