US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

0x79b7408f02df2eba4034ca4c06ddf17b8dbeacc5adbe8595969e7573912c4e3b

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 34.5% · CLOB volume $741.4k · whales 24h net $25.1k (65 wallets) · 7d net $72.8k · 6/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

34.5%

Yes

Implied No

65.5%

Volume

$741.4k

CLOB

Traders

618

4,924 trades

Yes 34.5%No 65.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$25.1k

Buy

$48.0k

Sell

$23.0k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$72.8k

Buy

$131.4k

Sell

$58.6k

Whales

148

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($25.1k)
•7d whale net still positive ($72.8k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 34.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-20 16:12:12

66.0¢$20

NOBUY2026-07-20 16:12:12

151.5¢$30

NOBUY2026-07-20 15:41:07

294.1¢$3

NOBUY2026-07-20 15:41:07

151.5¢$3

YESBUY2026-07-20 15:40:58

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xbaa2…2c73	713	$664.1k	$-448.3k	4
0x0c0e…434e	276	$613.8k	$-221.1k	4
0xc8ab…6418	630	$608.9k	$-529.6k	6
0xdbf1…86b5	577	$542.1k

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