US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

0xc0aed6d5d893988b4bef5a8242435bbc7c3b45b1e438bcffc9e9bf71d173ae46

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 4.5% · CLOB volume $1.64M · whales 24h net $123.2k (40 wallets) · 7d net $181.9k · 6/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

4.5%

Yes

Implied No

95.5%

Volume

$1.64M

CLOB

Traders

602

3,133 trades

Yes 4.5%No 95.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$123.2k

Buy

$139.1k

Sell

$15.9k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$181.9k

Buy

$232.5k

Sell

$50.5k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($123.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($181.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 4.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 07:13:43

104.8¢$10

NOBUY2026-07-21 07:13:43

2173.9¢$10

NOBUY2026-07-21 07:13:40

95.5¢$10

YESBUY2026-07-21 07:13:40

4.5¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-21 07:13:00

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xbaa2…2c73	713	$664.1k	$-448.3k	4
0x0c0e…434e	276	$613.8k	$-221.1k	4
0xc8ab…6418	630	$608.9k	$-529.6k	6
0xdbf1…86b5	577	$542.1k

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