Multi-outcome · 34 open · 8 closed hidden
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.68M
51.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.67M
15.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.80M
3.3%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.55M
2.8%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.58M
2.1%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.45M
1.8%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.67M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.57M
0.9%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.11M
0.7%
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