Multi-outcome · 42 open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $14.86M
46.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.01M
27.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.12M
3.0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.35M
2.1%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $12.84M
1.6%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.49M
1.5%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $18.73M
0.9%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.98M
0.9%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.53M
0.9%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.88M
0.8%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.65M
0.8%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.23M
0.8%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $5.98M
0.8%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $44.37M
0.7%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.24M
0.7%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $32.59M
0.5%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.68M
0.5%
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