0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52
As of Sep 23, 2026, “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?” trades at 32% YES on Polymarket with $2.17M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 31.5% · CLOB volume $2.17M · whales 24h net $20.6k (107 wallets) · 7d net $161.5k · 2/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
31.5%
Yes
Implied No
68.5%
No
Volume
$2.17M
CLOB
Traders
2,731
20,313 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
34.0% → 32.0% (-2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$20.6k
Buy
$43.9k
Sell
$23.3k
Whales
107
Last 7 days
Net flow
$161.5k
Buy
$358.4k
Sell
$197.0k
Whales
348
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x122c…fbed | $100.0k | $49.7k | $50.3k | $541 |
| 0x0b46…cd0b | $77.9k | $64.0k | $13.9k | $-50.1k |
| 0xab19…4876 | $77.7k | $67.4k | $10.3k | $-57.1k |
| 0x11fc…dc48 | $66.0k | $37.1k | $28.8k | $-8.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x122c…fbed | 3,892 | $303.2k | $4.6k | 3 |
| 0xab19…4876 | 300 | $275.0k | $-205.3k | 3 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 301 | $190.6k | $93.0k | 2 |
| 0xe234…304a | 322 | $190.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 6 total · Event board
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.17M
31.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
open · $966.4k
20.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
closed · $2.12M
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.19M
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
closed · $630.3k
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
closed · $539.4k
0.0%
| 0xe234…304a | $57.2k | $32.5k | $24.7k | $-7.9k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $53.0k | $16.0k | $37.0k | $21.0k |
| 0xc3db…0f98 | $52.1k | $31.8k | $20.4k | $-11.4k |
| 0xf519…906b | $48.2k | $28.4k | $19.8k | $-8.6k |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $35.8k | $20.1k | $15.7k | $-4.4k |
| 0x748a…3c56 | $34.9k | $24.8k | $10.1k | $-14.7k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $33.5k | $33.5k | $0 | $-33.5k |
| 0x1761…05ca | $31.9k | $19.8k | $12.1k | $-7.6k |
| $-39.2k |
| 3 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 1,056 | $134.0k | $-134.0k | 3 |
| 0x0b46…cd0b | 156 | $126.9k | $-67.1k | 2 |
| 0xf457…ac4e | 177 | $118.3k | $-48.5k | 1 |
| 0x0d7e…cb13 | 816 | $102.8k | $39.0k | 3 |
| 0x9a3f…914a | 201 | $93.4k | $-28.6k | 3 |
| 0xc851…cd2a | 165 | $93.1k | $30.6k | 3 |
