0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94
As of Sep 23, 2026, “NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?” trades at 21% YES on Polymarket with $966.3k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 20.5% · CLOB volume $966.3k · whales 24h net $36.6k (116 wallets) · 7d net $204.4k · 2/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
20.5%
Yes
Implied No
79.5%
No
Volume
$966.3k
CLOB
Traders
1,487
8,804 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
21.0% → 20.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$36.6k
Buy
$56.5k
Sell
$19.8k
Whales
116
Last 7 days
Net flow
$204.4k
Buy
$482.1k
Sell
$277.7k
Whales
456
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7447…a16d | $137.6k | $32.8k | $104.8k | $72.0k |
| 0xab19…4876 | $123.7k | $120.9k | $2.8k | $-118.1k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $53.3k | $53.3k | $0 | $-53.3k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $41.4k | $20.2k | $21.2k | $1.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x122c…fbed | 3,892 | $303.2k | $4.6k | 3 |
| 0xab19…4876 | 300 | $275.0k | $-205.3k | 3 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 301 | $190.6k | $93.0k | 2 |
| 0xe234…304a | 322 | $190.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 6 total · Event board
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.17M
31.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
open · $966.3k
20.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
closed · $2.12M
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.19M
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
closed · $630.3k
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
closed · $539.4k
0.0%
| 0xc7e5…2d3a | $40.3k | $20.1k | $20.2k | $80 |
| 0x44c1…ebc1 | $35.4k | $7.0k | $28.4k | $21.4k |
| 0xb100…6461 | $26.8k | $21.5k | $5.3k | $-16.1k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $24.5k | $16.3k | $8.3k | $-8.0k |
| 0x8dc9…434f | $23.4k | $12.7k | $10.7k | $-2.0k |
| 0xfb8f…842b | $22.6k | $13.5k | $9.0k | $-4.5k |
| 0x0d7e…cb13 | $20.2k | $11.6k | $8.6k | $-3.0k |
| 0x2cf7…294a | $19.2k | $10.7k | $8.5k | $-2.2k |
| $-39.2k |
| 3 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 1,056 | $134.0k | $-134.0k | 3 |
| 0x0b46…cd0b | 156 | $126.9k | $-67.1k | 2 |
| 0xf457…ac4e | 177 | $118.3k | $-48.5k | 1 |
| 0x0d7e…cb13 | 816 | $102.8k | $39.0k | 3 |
| 0x9a3f…914a | 201 | $93.4k | $-28.6k | 3 |
| 0xc851…cd2a | 165 | $93.1k | $30.6k | 3 |
