Multi-outcome · 5 open · 1 closed hidden
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Volume $8.19MTraders 3,443Trades 27,677
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
open · $1.13M
35.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
open · $906.3k
14.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
open · $3.56M
4.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
open · $2.10M
2.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
open · $908.6k
1.9%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xc8ab…64186 mkts · $1.03M
- 0x0c0e…434e6 mkts · $951.5k
- 0xbaa2…2c734 mkts · $922.2k
- 0xdbf1…86b53 mkts · $542.1k
- 0x2e0b…80704 mkts · $370.2k
- 0x8b4b…541b6 mkts · $221.3k
- 0x0845…6b6f5 mkts · $208.4k
- 0x122c…fbed5 mkts · $206.2k
- 0xeb77…4e6b3 mkts · $189.1k
- 0xd104…acef4 mkts · $185.6k
- 0x53e5…61772 mkts · $182.9k
- 0xcaab…24dd4 mkts · $167.2k
- 0xdf17…97d15 mkts · $141.8k
- 0x7bc1…8db44 mkts · $139.8k
- 0xb100…64614 mkts · $129.6k