US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

0x23667427b34ca1c7144d50540beba9e7ffb608443a84252c194bb8b40919a0cb

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 13.5% · CLOB volume $613.0k · whales 24h net $18.0k (37 wallets) · 7d net $57.8k · 6/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

13.5%

Yes

Implied No

86.5%

Volume

$613.0k

CLOB

Traders

246

823 trades

Yes 13.5%No 86.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$18.0k

Buy

$50.7k

Sell

$32.7k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$57.8k

Buy

$110.8k

Sell

$53.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($18.0k)
•7d whale net still positive ($57.8k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 13.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-20 14:57:12

769.2¢$31

YESBUY2026-07-20 14:57:12

13.0¢$4

NOBUY2026-07-20 14:56:37

714.3¢$1.2k

NOBUY2026-07-20 14:56:37

116.3¢$16

NOBUY2026-07-20 14:56:37

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xbaa2…2c73	724	$675.4k	$-459.5k	4
0x0c0e…434e	276	$613.8k	$-221.1k	4
0xc8ab…6418	633	$613.6k	$-534.3k	6
0xdbf1…86b5	577	$542.1k

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