Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

0x29ef2d589755bce48cd5c880ad51c2e814e56725f58232bc26d2f95e0ef7929a

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $266.8k · whales 24h net $19.0k (16 wallets) · 7d net $52.9k · 28/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$266.8k

CLOB

Traders

221

4,362 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$19.0k

Buy

$19.2k

Sell

$186

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$52.9k

Buy

$55.1k

Sell

$2.2k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($19.0k)
•7d whale net still positive ($52.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 15:15:12

100000.0¢$9

—BUY2026-07-21 15:15:12

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-21 15:13:46

100000.0¢$38

—BUY2026-07-21 15:13:46

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-21 15:12:04

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x511f…cbe1	3,108	$983.1k	$-842.1k	26
0xb687…aee5	9,590	$770.0k	$-705.5k	26
0xb0c8…fe7f	13,022	$683.5k	$-602.0k	26
0xd5b5…3364	371	$660.0k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows, Smart Score and live screens — free to explore. Alpha API for automation.

Explore traders View plans