Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

0xd0d342e06ca9d5b1e5ddf66ad92b42b9cc6010823507c8e3107afe2ee1db8852

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $127.0k · whales 24h net $-5.0k (7 wallets) · 7d net $-5.0k · 28/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.3%

Yes

Implied No

99.7%

Volume

$127.0k

CLOB

Traders

38 trades

Yes 0.3%No 99.7%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$-5.0k

Buy

$7.0k

Sell

$12.0k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$-5.0k

Buy

$7.0k

Sell

$12.0k

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.3% — No favored
•Whales net sellers 24h ($-5.0k)
•7d whale net negative ($-5.0k)
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

38 shown

—BUY2026-07-21 17:48:07

0.3¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-21 17:48:07

33333.4¢$333

—BUY2026-07-21 17:43:51

0.2¢$24

NOBUY2026-07-21 17:43:51

50000.0¢$2.6k

NOBUY2026-07-21 17:43:51

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x511f…cbe1	3,108	$983.1k	$-842.1k	26
0xd5b5…3364	624	$982.3k	$-981.1k	24
0xb687…aee5	9,590	$770.0k	$-705.5k	26
0xb0c8…fe7f	13,023	$683.5k

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