0xcefba5a5ca20b0fee51103c05388828b138cc2199a36fe5a7702049dbc9e5222
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $94.4k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $94.4k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $143 · 15/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.3%
Yes
Implied No
99.8%
No
Volume
$94.4k
CLOB
Traders
249
2,034 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$143
Buy
$198
Sell
$55
Whales
8
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdea1…3d9f | $2.8k | $2.8k | $15 | $-2.7k |
| 0x796e…3426 | $626 | $625 | $1 | $-624 |
| 0xee67…67a6 | $308 | $307 | $1 | $-307 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $186 | $186 | $0 | $-186 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd600…b66e | 11 | $13.3k | $-13.2k | 3 |
| 0xdea1…3d9f | 22 | $11.6k | $-11.5k | 5 |
| 0x54e1…9d5a | 170 | $11.4k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | 2,947 | $9.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
15 open · 15 total · Event board
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $445.8k
67.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $1.38M
17.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $2.42M
10.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $207.9k
1.6%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $539.4k
1.2%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $87.4k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $258.9k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $180.5k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.3k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $500.9k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $270.1k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $94.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $70.6k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $152.0k
0.2%
| 0x1d8c…757a | $184 | $183 | $0 | $-183 |
| 0xe040…824f | $180 | $180 | $0 | $-179 |
| 0x7580…853d | $179 | $179 | $0 | $-179 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | $174 | $173 | $1 | $-172 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | $152 | $151 | $0 | $-151 |
| 0xfe2d…da35 | $138 | $138 | $0 | $-137 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | $119 | $119 | $0 | $-118 |
| 0x4ffe…9f71 | $83 | $4 | $79 | $76 |
| $-8.3k |
| 15 |
| 0x03d5…97af | 10 | $8.6k | $-8.5k | 2 |
| 0xee67…67a6 | 228 | $7.5k | $-6.5k | 6 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 26 | $6.3k | $455 | 3 |
| 0x97c6…6587 | 2,975 | $6.2k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x227b…76f9 | 2,446 | $6.0k | $-1.9k | 4 |
| 0xe283…3263 | 37 | $5.9k | $275 | 1 |
