0x98283dd207781ce8b3e2bf9890b6e9f7d36fc3eb1a24ac0080833f04fb06f2d6
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $154.4k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $154.4k · whales 24h net $17 (3 wallets) · 7d net $185 · 15/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.3%
Yes
Implied No
99.7%
No
Volume
$154.4k
CLOB
Traders
309
7,554 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.2% → 0.2% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$17
Buy
$26
Sell
$9
Whales
3
Last 7 days
Net flow
$185
Buy
$261
Sell
$76
Whales
8
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdea1…3d9f | $2.2k | $2.2k | $14 | $-2.2k |
| 0x97c6…6587 | $556 | $370 | $186 | $-185 |
| 0x227b…76f9 | $379 | $253 | $127 | $-126 |
| 0x8a7b…782f | $320 | $320 | $0 | $-320 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd600…b66e | 11 | $13.3k | $-13.2k | 3 |
| 0xdea1…3d9f | 22 | $11.6k | $-11.5k | 5 |
| 0x54e1…9d5a | 170 | $11.4k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | 2,947 | $9.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
15 open · 15 total · Event board
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $445.8k
67.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $1.38M
17.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $2.42M
10.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $207.9k
1.6%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $539.4k
1.2%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $87.4k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $258.9k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $180.5k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.3k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $500.9k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $270.1k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $94.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $70.6k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $152.0k
0.2%
| 0x1d8c…757a | $204 | $203 | $0 | $-203 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $198 | $197 | $0 | $-197 |
| 0x8b22…c81e | $171 | $170 | $0 | $-170 |
| 0x5533…51ba | $152 | $152 | $0 | $-152 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $145 | $144 | $0 | $-144 |
| 0x7449…c05e | $144 | $96 | $48 | $-48 |
| 0xe040…824f | $130 | $130 | $0 | $-130 |
| 0xa158…1c1b | $119 | $79 | $40 | $-40 |
| $-8.3k |
| 15 |
| 0x03d5…97af | 10 | $8.6k | $-8.5k | 2 |
| 0xee67…67a6 | 228 | $7.5k | $-6.5k | 6 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 26 | $6.3k | $455 | 3 |
| 0x97c6…6587 | 2,975 | $6.2k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x227b…76f9 | 2,446 | $6.0k | $-1.9k | 4 |
| 0xe283…3263 | 37 | $5.9k | $275 | 1 |
