0x8a4196617dcb703e49d9bb36d3847bf6a75fd364dbd19f8d408ac944bf1a03d8
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?” trades at 54% YES on Polymarket with $166.7k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 54.0% · CLOB volume $166.7k · whales 24h net $13.3k (55 wallets) · 7d net $15.8k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
54.0%
Yes
Implied No
46.0%
No
Volume
$166.7k
CLOB
Traders
230
1,400 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
47.5% → 51.0% (+3.5pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$13.3k
Buy
$29.5k
Sell
$16.2k
Whales
55
Last 7 days
Net flow
$15.8k
Buy
$34.0k
Sell
$18.2k
Whales
78
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe033…40a5 | $84.7k | $30.4k | $54.3k | $23.9k |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | $20.5k | $15.9k | $4.6k | $-11.3k |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | $12.2k | $12.2k | $0 | $-12.2k |
| 0x264c…baca | $11.6k | $5.6k | $6.0k | $436 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe033…40a5 | 293 | $84.7k | $23.9k | 1 |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | 383 | $65.9k | $5.6k | 5 |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | 93 | $44.3k | $-27.6k | 5 |
| 0xc8cd…7405 | 182 | $38.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $166.7k
54.0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $113.2k
37.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $148.6k
4.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $94.9k
1.8%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $96.4k
0.9%
| 0x80a4…22cc | $9.6k | $9.6k | $0 | $-9.6k |
| 0x49f2…d7b4 | $7.4k | $7.4k | $0 | $-7.4k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $7.2k | $7.2k | $0 | $-7.2k |
| 0x6139…6b7a | $6.7k | $6.7k | $0 | $-6.7k |
| 0x5b91…2709 | $5.2k | $2.9k | $2.3k | $-657 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $4.4k | $2.8k | $1.6k | $-1.2k |
| 0xb3cf…4723 | $4.4k | $2.3k | $2.1k | $-159 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $3.9k | $3.9k | $0 | $-3.9k |
| $36.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 451 | $32.5k | $-32.5k | 5 |
| 0xdc41…dd7e | 156 | $21.4k | $-1.4k | 3 |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | 85 | $21.1k | $-21.1k | 2 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 285 | $20.0k | $-7.7k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 243 | $19.2k | $-11.0k | 5 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 213 | $17.6k | $-17.6k | 2 |
