0xb9aee520bf51ac5f00b5c43e54ef9245bc9fcdef866ce8a33025f9a441cc651d
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $96.4k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.9% · CLOB volume $96.4k · whales 24h net $3.7k (24 wallets) · 7d net $12.8k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.9%
Yes
Implied No
99.0%
No
Volume
$96.4k
CLOB
Traders
110
764 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.0% → 0.9% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.7k
Buy
$3.7k
Sell
$61
Whales
24
Last 7 days
Net flow
$12.8k
Buy
$19.9k
Sell
$7.1k
Whales
44
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9e3e…f882 | $17.9k | $7.6k | $10.2k | $2.6k |
| 0x629c…2739 | $10.2k | $156 | $10.0k | $9.8k |
| 0xb834…7e1d | $6.4k | $100 | $6.3k | $6.2k |
| 0xbc54…680f | $6.0k | $6.0k | $0 | $-6.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe033…40a5 | 293 | $84.7k | $23.9k | 1 |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | 383 | $65.9k | $5.6k | 5 |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | 93 | $44.3k | $-27.6k | 5 |
| 0xc8cd…7405 | 182 | $38.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $168.6k
56.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $115.6k
35.0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $148.6k
4.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $94.9k
1.8%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $96.4k
0.9%
| 0xbefa…300d | $5.8k | $5.8k | $0 | $-5.8k |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | $5.0k | $5.0k | $33 | $-5.0k |
| 0xd0bf…9f9f | $5.0k | $5.0k | $0 | $-5.0k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $3.9k | $3.9k | $0 | $-3.9k |
| 0x6b3a…fcbd | $3.1k | $50 | $3.1k | $3.0k |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | $2.7k | $2.5k | $237 | $-2.3k |
| 0x0380…073d | $2.7k | $2.6k | $41 | $-2.6k |
| 0xd4d5…33d8 | $2.3k | $2.3k | $0 | $-2.3k |
| $36.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 451 | $32.5k | $-32.5k | 5 |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | 87 | $22.5k | $-22.5k | 2 |
| 0xdc41…dd7e | 158 | $21.4k | $-1.4k | 3 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 285 | $20.0k | $-7.7k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 243 | $19.2k | $-11.0k | 5 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 198 | $17.9k | $-10.1k | 5 |