0xf17ad24eb4ad57926495b114149c765b9b95bc286eadc91cbbfa901ceb10d0b8
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $148.6k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.3% · CLOB volume $148.6k · whales 24h net $4.0k (34 wallets) · 7d net $35.0k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.3%
Yes
Implied No
95.8%
No
Volume
$148.6k
CLOB
Traders
319
2,821 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
6.4% → 5.1% (-1.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.0k
Buy
$5.2k
Sell
$1.2k
Whales
34
Last 7 days
Net flow
$35.0k
Buy
$51.1k
Sell
$16.1k
Whales
100
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9e3e…f882 | $45.5k | $21.2k | $24.3k | $3.1k |
| 0xf6ea…0a00 | $16.9k | $14.7k | $2.2k | $-12.5k |
| 0x5eab…ef27 | $13.6k | $6.2k | $7.5k | $1.3k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $10.3k | $10.3k | $0 | $-10.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe033…40a5 | 293 | $84.7k | $23.9k | 1 |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | 383 | $65.9k | $5.6k | 5 |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | 93 | $44.3k | $-27.6k | 5 |
| 0xc8cd…7405 | 182 | $38.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $168.6k
56.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $115.6k
35.0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $148.6k
4.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $94.9k
1.8%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $96.4k
0.9%
| 0x9648…6825 | $8.1k | $8.1k | $0 | $-8.1k |
| 0x0380…073d | $6.7k | $5.3k | $1.4k | $-3.9k |
| 0xd701…917d | $6.6k | $680 | $5.9k | $5.2k |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | $5.5k | $4.9k | $625 | $-4.2k |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | $5.2k | $5.0k | $244 | $-4.8k |
| 0xd798…f8bc | $4.7k | $330 | $4.4k | $4.1k |
| 0xd892…61fc | $3.8k | $449 | $3.4k | $2.9k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $3.2k | $2.7k | $489 | $-2.2k |
| $36.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 451 | $32.5k | $-32.5k | 5 |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | 87 | $22.5k | $-22.5k | 2 |
| 0xdc41…dd7e | 158 | $21.4k | $-1.4k | 3 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 285 | $20.0k | $-7.7k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 243 | $19.2k | $-11.0k | 5 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 198 | $17.9k | $-10.1k | 5 |
