0xa5f8a44504de30fa36fff2406b2b27b3d15476ed50448e4fc3ead4861d8a5e3e
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $94.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.8% · CLOB volume $94.9k · whales 24h net $3.1k (32 wallets) · 7d net $4.9k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.8%
Yes
Implied No
98.3%
No
Volume
$94.9k
CLOB
Traders
111
1,118 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.8% → 1.7% (-1.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.1k
Buy
$4.0k
Sell
$879
Whales
32
Last 7 days
Net flow
$4.9k
Buy
$7.4k
Sell
$2.6k
Whales
41
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8cd…7405 | $38.1k | $690 | $37.4k | $36.7k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $13.0k | $13.0k | $0 | $-13.0k |
| 0xbc54…680f | $7.5k | $7.5k | $0 | $-7.5k |
| 0xe055…8df9 | $6.9k | $6.9k | $0 | $-6.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe033…40a5 | 293 | $84.7k | $23.9k | 1 |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | 383 | $65.9k | $5.6k | 5 |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | 93 | $44.3k | $-27.6k | 5 |
| 0xc8cd…7405 | 182 | $38.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $166.7k
54.0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $113.2k
37.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $148.6k
4.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $94.9k
1.8%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $96.4k
0.9%
| 0x9efd…ad00 | $5.5k | $5.0k | $522 | $-4.5k |
| 0xbd7e…875d | $4.0k | $4.0k | $0 | $-4.0k |
| 0x0380…073d | $4.0k | $3.5k | $501 | $-3.0k |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | $3.8k | $2.9k | $893 | $-2.0k |
| 0x4ffe…9f71 | $3.4k | $3.4k | $0 | $-3.4k |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | $2.5k | $1.3k | $1.3k | $3 |
| 0xee67…67a6 | $2.2k | $2.2k | $5 | $-2.2k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $2.0k | $1.9k | $107 | $-1.8k |
| $36.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 451 | $32.5k | $-32.5k | 5 |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | 87 | $22.5k | $-22.5k | 2 |
| 0xdc41…dd7e | 158 | $21.4k | $-1.4k | 3 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 285 | $20.0k | $-7.7k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 243 | $19.2k | $-11.0k | 5 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 198 | $17.9k | $-10.1k | 5 |
