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Iran full airspace closure by...?Active 30 days left

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

0xbad91c213787a7542345b8abd72a1d55754987c47ba82ef5d4aa625ac046f024

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 21.5% · CLOB volume $924.2k · whales 24h net $34.3k (84 wallets) · 7d net $120.4k · 4/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

21.5%

Yes

Implied No

78.5%

Volume

$924.2k

CLOB

Traders

1,302

15,593 trades

Yes 21.5%No 78.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$34.3k

Buy

$48.0k

Sell

$13.7k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$120.4k

Buy

$215.5k

Sell

$95.1k

Whales

226

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($34.3k)
•7d whale net still positive ($120.4k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 21.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 03:41:23

80.0¢$5

YESBUY2026-08-02 03:41:23

20.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-02 03:25:27

128.2¢$30

NOBUY2026-08-02 03:25:27

78.0¢$23

NOBUY2026-08-02 03:24:24

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x122c…fbed	$219.5k	$112.6k	$106.9k	$-5.8k
0x21ff…0d71	$52.8k	$52.8k	$0	$-52.8k
0xc8ab…6418	$47.7k	$47.7k	$0	$-47.7k
0x4135…e462	$35.9k	$19.3k	$16.6k	$-2.6k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	8,451	$812.5k	$-20.9k	6
0x9592…a7b8	1,179	$472.0k	$-93.3k	3
0xbaa2…2c73	211	$296.8k	$-226.0k	3
0xc8ab…6418	631	$263.6k

Dig deeper with Polydata

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