0x506a2f7a1aae43e74f04d412afdc5982f669c7274c26463da72c23b28b2a6004
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Iran full airspace closure by December 31?” trades at 27% YES on Polymarket with $341.6k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 26.5% · CLOB volume $341.6k · whales 24h net $1.6k (25 wallets) · 7d net $21.4k · 2/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
26.5%
Yes
Implied No
73.5%
No
Volume
$341.6k
CLOB
Traders
481
4,955 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
31.7% → 26.0% (-5.7pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.6k
Buy
$2.7k
Sell
$1.0k
Whales
25
Last 7 days
Net flow
$21.4k
Buy
$42.5k
Sell
$21.1k
Whales
83
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x187f…5fee | $66.3k | $38.8k | $27.5k | $-11.4k |
| 0x0845…6b6f | $29.9k | $17.1k | $12.8k | $-4.3k |
| 0xb51b…b4d9 | $24.0k | $13.7k | $10.2k | $-3.5k |
| 0x52f9…e1c7 | $21.8k | $9.7k | $12.1k | $2.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 329 | $151.6k | $-147.0k | 3 |
| 0x187f…5fee | 363 | $141.0k | $-47.8k | 3 |
| 0x57cc…882c | 230 | $98.0k | $70.7k | 1 |
| 0x9e72…99c4 | 153 | $86.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 7 total · Event board
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
open · $341.5k
26.5%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
open · $886.6k
5.5%
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
closed · $2.77M
0.0%
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
closed · $2.27M
0.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
closed · $1.54M
0.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
closed · $770.7k
0.0%
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?
closed · $252.2k
0.0%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $20.7k | $20.7k | $0 | $-20.7k |
| 0x993c…6787 | $19.7k | $15.3k | $4.3k | $-11.0k |
| 0x401e…6fc9 | $15.4k | $10.4k | $5.0k | $-5.5k |
| 0x162f…798d | $14.9k | $11.9k | $3.0k | $-8.9k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $13.7k | $13.7k | $0 | $-13.7k |
| 0x8a8b…375c | $12.8k | $8.4k | $4.4k | $-4.0k |
| 0x60a9…5a71 | $11.9k | $4.8k | $7.1k | $2.3k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $11.3k | $5.5k | $5.8k | $238 |
| $-11.5k |
| 3 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 665 | $82.4k | $-82.4k | 4 |
| 0xb37a…f1b1 | 278 | $69.5k | $-30.3k | 3 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 58 | $55.5k | $-27.6k | 3 |
| 0xbf96…9942 | 147 | $55.2k | $-18.0k | 4 |
| 0xb51b…b4d9 | 163 | $54.1k | $-5.2k | 3 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 277 | $52.6k | $-38.2k | 4 |
