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Iran full airspace closure by...?Active 152 days left

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?

0x506a2f7a1aae43e74f04d412afdc5982f669c7274c26463da72c23b28b2a6004

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 46.5% · CLOB volume $25.1k · whales 24h net $4.4k (41 wallets) · 7d net $10.7k · 4/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

46.5%

Yes

Implied No

53.5%

Volume

$25.1k

CLOB

Traders

117

622 trades

Yes 46.5%No 53.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$4.4k

Buy

$6.7k

Sell

$2.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$10.7k

Buy

$17.1k

Sell

$6.4k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($4.4k)
•7d whale net still positive ($10.7k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 46.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($25.1k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-08-02 05:28:57

48.1¢$10

NOBUY2026-08-02 05:28:57

204.1¢$3

—BUY2026-08-02 05:28:57

52.0¢$8

NOBUY2026-08-02 05:28:57

208.3¢$3

—BUY2026-08-02 05:19:41

48.0¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x122c…fbed	$7.9k	$4.3k	$3.6k	$-763
0x187f…5fee	$7.0k	$4.6k	$2.3k	$-2.3k
0xb100…6461	$3.4k	$2.0k	$1.4k	$-608
0xbd14…76b4	$2.5k	$1.8k	$646	$-1.2k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	8,506	$815.6k	$-21.1k	6
0x9592…a7b8	1,179	$472.0k	$-93.3k	3
0xbaa2…2c73	211	$296.8k	$-226.0k	3
0xc8ab…6418	631	$263.6k

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