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Iran full airspace closure by...?Active 14 days left

Iran full airspace closure by August 15?

0xbf08ec6654ade883d96f3e25a5330ccf4aae0d8e9efa690c694305e95738e8a1

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 18.5% · CLOB volume $339.4k · whales 24h net $49.2k (157 wallets) · 7d net $82.7k · 4/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

18.5%

Yes

Implied No

81.5%

Volume

$339.4k

CLOB

Traders

493

3,096 trades

Yes 18.5%No 81.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$49.2k

Buy

$92.4k

Sell

$43.2k

Whales

157

Last 7 days

Net flow

$82.7k

Buy

$158.3k

Sell

$75.6k

Whales

235

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($49.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($82.7k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 18.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 06:41:17

82.0¢$8

YESBUY2026-08-02 06:41:17

18.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-02 06:38:06

123.5¢$20

NOBUY2026-08-02 06:38:06

81.0¢$16

YESBUY2026-08-02 06:38:00

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x122c…fbed	$30.5k	$16.7k	$13.8k	$-2.9k
0x993c…6787	$17.3k	$11.9k	$5.4k	$-6.5k
0x9e72…99c4	$12.8k	$7.7k	$5.0k	$-2.7k
0xc7e5…2d3a	$12.7k	$5.7k	$7.0k	$1.4k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	8,506	$815.6k	$-21.1k	6
0x9592…a7b8	1,179	$472.0k	$-93.3k	3
0xbaa2…2c73	211	$296.8k	$-226.0k	3
0xc8ab…6418	631	$263.6k

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