0xdce84960dce38aa4a5800a5eba7c9ac34d2ce49ba9d44c42572c472d468af264
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $32.29M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $32.29M · whales 24h net $16.5k (10 wallets) · 7d net $68.8k · 39/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.5%
Yes
Implied No
99.5%
No
Volume
$32.29M
CLOB
Traders
7,731
94,575 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.5% → 0.5% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$16.5k
Buy
$23.1k
Sell
$6.6k
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$68.8k
Buy
$92.1k
Sell
$23.3k
Whales
39
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5d18…4972 | $100.4k | $100.4k | $0 | $-100.4k |
| 0xaba6…0cd9 | $87.3k | $58.1k | $29.2k | $-28.8k |
| 0xbacd…ab35 | $60.3k | $532 | $59.7k | $59.2k |
| 0x6b23…5a43 | $56.9k | $37.8k | $19.1k | $-18.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | 14,016 | $4.87M | $-4.86M | 46 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 16,020 | $3.16M | $-3.15M | 24 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 1,282 | $2.75M | $405.8k | 42 |
| 0x9739…159f | 242 | $2.37M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
39 open · 50 total · Event board
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.22M
18.4%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.94M
17.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $27.71M
13.5%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.50M
8.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.01M
6.1%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.05M
5.1%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.60M
3.0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.27M
2.5%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.67M
2.5%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.58M
1.8%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $18.42M
1.8%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.29M
1.4%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.75M
1.3%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.51M
1.1%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.12M
0.8%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.53M
0.7%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $32.29M
0.5%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.31M
0.5%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $44.50M
0.5%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $52.75M
0.4%
| 0x5c7a…1a97 | $46.9k | $31.2k | $15.7k | $-15.5k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $37.6k | $37.5k | $113 | $-37.4k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $26.3k | $26.3k | $0 | $-26.3k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $22.0k | $22.0k | $0 | $-22.0k |
| 0x1a85…c99a | $18.4k | $128 | $18.2k | $18.1k |
| 0x9523…cbb2 | $14.4k | $9.6k | $4.8k | $-4.8k |
| 0x9703…69c2 | $14.3k | $14.3k | $0 | $-14.3k |
| 0x4873…e5d8 | $12.6k | $8.3k | $4.2k | $-4.1k |
| $2.37M |
| 10 |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | 113 | $2.04M | $2.03M | 12 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 3,263 | $2.03M | $-2.03M | 14 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 9,238 | $1.95M | $-1.90M | 51 |
| 0xbefa…300d | 6,119 | $1.34M | $-776.0k | 30 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 6,642 | $1.17M | $-1.17M | 23 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 387 | $1.14M | $-1.14M | 7 |
