Multi-outcome · 51 open

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Volume $351.44MTraders 31,370Trades 4,571,399

Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.62M
19.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.12M
14.6%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.44M
14.6%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.84M
8.6%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.71M
5.1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $9.39M
4.9%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.09M
2.9%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.84M
2.5%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.35M
2.4%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $24.56M
2.3%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.09M
2.1%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.43M
1.5%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.85M
1.5%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.28M
1.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.33M
1.1%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.20M
1.1%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.03M
0.9%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.13M
0.9%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $52.58M
0.7%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $43.99M
0.5%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $31.89M
0.5%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $31.31M
0.5%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $25.45M
0.5%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $22.75M
0.5%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.04M
0.5%

Probability ladder · open only

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