Multi-outcome · 39 open · 12 closed hidden
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.22M
18.3%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.94M
17.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $27.71M
13.5%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.50M
8.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.01M
6.1%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.05M
5.1%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.60M
3.0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.27M
2.5%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.67M
2.5%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.58M
1.8%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $18.42M
1.8%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.29M
1.4%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.75M
1.3%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.51M
1.1%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.12M
0.8%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.53M
0.7%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $32.29M
0.5%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.31M
0.5%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $44.50M
0.5%
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