0xe6bcc2f1dd025ce5e1833190f7c60a71171c94f805df55b9ab0ded695ec93565
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” trades at 19% YES on Polymarket with $15.11M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 19.4% · CLOB volume $15.11M · whales 24h net $1.7k (24 wallets) · 7d net $11.3k · 38/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
19.4%
Yes
Implied No
80.7%
No
Volume
$15.11M
CLOB
Traders
19,952
165,026 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
18.8% → 19.5% (+0.7pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.7k
Buy
$4.8k
Sell
$3.1k
Whales
24
Last 7 days
Net flow
$11.3k
Buy
$20.7k
Sell
$9.4k
Whales
77
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc2de…6781 | $501.6k | $127.8k | $373.8k | $246.0k |
| 0x9d84…1344 | $91.8k | $89.0k | $2.9k | $-86.1k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $86.5k | $86.3k | $217 | $-86.1k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $61.5k | $61.5k | $7 | $-61.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | 15,844 | $5.28M | $-5.26M | 50 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 22,104 | $3.26M | $-3.24M | 24 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 1,274 | $2.37M | $-381.3k | 40 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 10,525 | $2.25M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
38 open · 50 total · Event board
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.11M
19.4%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.88M
16.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $27.19M
14.2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.17M
7.8%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $9.88M
6.3%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.99M
5.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.53M
3.0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.15M
2.6%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.55M
2.5%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.64M
2.5%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.26M
1.8%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $18.42M
1.6%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.64M
1.4%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.50M
1.1%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.26M
0.7%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.43M
0.6%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $32.18M
0.5%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $44.39M
0.5%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.26M
0.4%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.03M
0.4%
| 0xb4d2…ce99 | $57.6k | $53.1k | $4.5k | $-48.6k |
| 0xe0d1…e44f | $55.8k | $10.0k | $45.8k | $35.8k |
| 0x00c7…bb17 | $55.5k | $10.0k | $45.5k | $35.5k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $46.7k | $44.0k | $2.7k | $-41.3k |
| 0x90ed…b5bc | $35.2k | $30.8k | $4.3k | $-26.5k |
| 0xfa2d…8fc4 | $33.6k | $22.8k | $10.9k | $-11.9k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $32.2k | $32.2k | $0 | $-32.2k |
| 0x4d41…6aca | $28.2k | $11.4k | $16.9k | $5.5k |
| $-2.19M |
| 51 |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | 59 | $1.87M | $1.86M | 10 |
| 0xbefa…300d | 6,218 | $1.17M | $-605.9k | 34 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 6,040 | $1.12M | $-1.12M | 15 |
| 0x78c6…4710 | 57 | $1.01M | $-169.3k | 2 |
| 0x133b…2f22 | 2,017 | $711.9k | $-707.4k | 7 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 168 | $621.9k | $-621.8k | 6 |
