0x36db77c539bcc8c7bf0686c1b99f30c5a5eed1f53d3b3a27a071550c81f83701
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $17.53M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 3.0% · CLOB volume $17.53M · whales 24h net $1.8k (25 wallets) · 7d net $11.2k · 38/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.0%
Yes
Implied No
97.0%
No
Volume
$17.53M
CLOB
Traders
12,551
136,058 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.9% → 3.1% (+0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.8k
Buy
$41.7k
Sell
$39.9k
Whales
25
Last 7 days
Net flow
$11.2k
Buy
$57.5k
Sell
$46.3k
Whales
65
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5b72…bedd | $134.2k | $128.5k | $5.7k | $-122.9k |
| 0xeff0…1210 | $93.8k | $5.3k | $88.5k | $83.2k |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $50.0k | $50.0k | $0 | $-50.0k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $48.0k | $48.0k | $0 | $-48.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | 15,844 | $5.28M | $-5.26M | 50 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 22,104 | $3.26M | $-3.24M | 24 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 1,274 | $2.37M | $-381.3k | 40 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 10,525 | $2.25M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
38 open · 50 total · Event board
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.11M
19.4%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.88M
16.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $27.19M
14.2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.17M
7.8%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $9.88M
6.3%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.99M
5.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.53M
3.0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.15M
2.6%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.55M
2.5%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.64M
2.5%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.26M
1.8%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $18.42M
1.6%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.64M
1.4%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.50M
1.1%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.26M
0.7%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.43M
0.6%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $32.18M
0.5%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $44.39M
0.5%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.26M
0.4%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.03M
0.4%
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $45.8k | $44.0k | $1.8k | $-42.2k |
| 0x452c…7449 | $42.2k | $1.5k | $40.7k | $39.3k |
| 0x9f57…c930 | $40.2k | $39.5k | $715 | $-38.8k |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | $39.3k | $1.2k | $38.1k | $36.9k |
| 0x8adf…48cd | $38.3k | $38.3k | $0 | $-38.3k |
| 0xd64e…5516 | $37.8k | $37.8k | $0 | $-37.8k |
| 0x68c2…1711 | $34.6k | $33.7k | $921 | $-32.7k |
| 0x37a7…dde1 | $30.0k | $800 | $29.2k | $28.4k |
| $-2.19M |
| 51 |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | 59 | $1.87M | $1.86M | 10 |
| 0xbefa…300d | 6,218 | $1.17M | $-605.9k | 34 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 6,040 | $1.12M | $-1.12M | 15 |
| 0x78c6…4710 | 57 | $1.01M | $-169.3k | 2 |
| 0x133b…2f22 | 2,017 | $711.9k | $-707.4k | 7 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 168 | $621.9k | $-621.8k | 6 |
