0x0f49db97f71c68b1e42a6d16e3de93d85dbf7d4148e3f018eb79e88554be9f75
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” trades at 14% YES on Polymarket with $27.19M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 14.2% · CLOB volume $27.19M · whales 24h net $33.7k (29 wallets) · 7d net $96.7k · 37/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
14.2%
Yes
Implied No
85.8%
No
Volume
$27.19M
CLOB
Traders
30,216
307,174 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
14.4% → 14.2% (-0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$33.7k
Buy
$41.0k
Sell
$7.3k
Whales
29
Last 7 days
Net flow
$96.7k
Buy
$146.1k
Sell
$49.4k
Whales
104
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa0dc…586c | $124.1k | $59.6k | $64.4k | $4.8k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $57.5k | $57.5k | $0 | $-57.5k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $46.6k | $44.0k | $2.6k | $-41.4k |
| 0x58dc…e95c | $45.8k | $40.1k | $5.7k | $-34.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | 15,836 | $5.17M | $-5.16M | 50 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 22,104 | $3.26M | $-3.24M | 24 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 1,274 | $2.37M | $-381.3k | 40 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 10,524 | $2.25M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
37 open · 50 total · Event board
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.11M
19.4%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.88M
16.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $27.19M
14.2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.17M
7.8%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $9.88M
6.3%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.99M
5.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.53M
3.0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.15M
2.6%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.55M
2.5%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.64M
2.5%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.26M
1.8%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $18.42M
1.6%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.64M
1.4%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.50M
1.1%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.26M
0.7%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.43M
0.6%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $32.18M
0.5%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $44.39M
0.5%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.26M
0.4%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.03M
0.4%
| 0x443e…fef8 | $36.8k | $32.2k | $4.6k | $-27.7k |
| 0xff17…5745 | $20.8k | $18.1k | $2.6k | $-15.5k |
| 0xc00d…6cd3 | $19.6k | $2.9k | $16.7k | $13.8k |
| 0xe6ca…b27a | $17.5k | $2.4k | $15.0k | $12.6k |
| 0x7921…cab1 | $16.6k | $16.3k | $265 | $-16.0k |
| 0x8671…d4b7 | $15.6k | $15.6k | $0 | $-15.6k |
| 0x17e5…3d19 | $13.6k | $12.0k | $1.6k | $-10.4k |
| 0x376f…5cd3 | $10.6k | $1.4k | $9.2k | $7.7k |
| $-2.19M |
| 51 |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | 25 | $1.69M | $1.68M | 2 |
| 0xbefa…300d | 6,203 | $1.16M | $-590.0k | 34 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 6,038 | $1.12M | $-1.11M | 14 |
| 0x78c6…4710 | 57 | $1.01M | $-169.3k | 2 |
| 0x133b…2f22 | 2,015 | $711.6k | $-707.1k | 7 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 167 | $611.9k | $-611.8k | 6 |
