Multi-outcome · 4 open
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
Volume $210.4kTraders 387Trades 3,489
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
open · $71.5k
62.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?
open · $62.7k
26.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
open · $54.7k
10.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?
open · $54.2k
5.5%
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