0x18784dd7447846b09178fc0a2fd340f08999272631e10443953d9c8cf15692a7
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?” trades at 11% YES on Polymarket with $54.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 10.5% · CLOB volume $54.7k · whales 24h net $905 (14 wallets) · 7d net $21.4k · 4/4 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
10.5%
Yes
Implied No
89.5%
No
Volume
$54.7k
CLOB
Traders
192
922 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
10.0% → 11.0% (+1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$905
Buy
$1.7k
Sell
$790
Whales
14
Last 7 days
Net flow
$21.4k
Buy
$42.5k
Sell
$21.1k
Whales
140
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xedfb…3c1c | $9.0k | $2.9k | $6.1k | $3.2k |
| 0x733c…851f | $4.3k | $1.5k | $2.8k | $1.3k |
| 0xa58d…b9b8 | $4.2k | $2.8k | $1.4k | $-1.4k |
| 0x876b…1703 | $3.8k | $1.5k | $2.4k | $929 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x876b…1703 | 170 | $23.0k | $603 | 4 |
| 0xedfb…3c1c | 239 | $19.4k | $7.6k | 3 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 87 | $11.0k | $-11.0k | 4 |
| 0xa58d…b9b8 | 142 | $10.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 4 total · Event board
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
open · $71.5k
62.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?
open · $62.7k
26.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
open · $54.7k
10.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?
open · $54.2k
5.5%
| 0x2c39…56dc | $3.6k | $2.9k | $715 | $-2.2k |
| 0x7d1b…e75c | $2.3k | $1.9k | $406 | $-1.5k |
| 0x2b9d…95f4 | $2.3k | $2.3k | $0 | $-2.3k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $2.3k | $2.3k | $0 | $-2.3k |
| 0xcb48…be6d | $2.2k | $1.3k | $942 | $-331 |
| 0x9aeb…2729 | $2.1k | $1.7k | $376 | $-1.4k |
| 0xbd14…76b4 | $2.1k | $1.4k | $649 | $-786 |
| 0x4c4e…297b | $2.1k | $1.3k | $781 | $-503 |
| $-5.6k |
| 4 |
| 0x2c39…56dc | 47 | $9.9k | $-3.2k | 4 |
| 0x5cac…58de | 65 | $8.5k | $-868 | 1 |
| 0x9aeb…2729 | 59 | $8.4k | $-3.9k | 4 |
| 0x733c…851f | 82 | $8.2k | $2.2k | 3 |
| 0x7d1b…e75c | 208 | $8.1k | $-6.4k | 3 |
| 0x7d3e…534e | 59 | $7.6k | $-1.6k | 2 |
