0x1cb0376cda32a95ede7beaf7af651815de0febc4ea961e87bdd8df695f065a1e
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $54.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $54.2k · whales 24h net $1.1k (10 wallets) · 7d net $30.6k · 4/4 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.5%
Yes
Implied No
94.5%
No
Volume
$54.2k
CLOB
Traders
163
950 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.1k
Buy
$2.2k
Sell
$1.1k
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$30.6k
Buy
$61.7k
Sell
$31.1k
Whales
128
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5cac…58de | $8.5k | $4.7k | $3.8k | $-868 |
| 0xedfb…3c1c | $6.4k | $957 | $5.4k | $4.5k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $5.5k | $5.5k | $10 | $-5.5k |
| 0x876b…1703 | $5.1k | $3.1k | $2.0k | $-1.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x876b…1703 | 170 | $23.0k | $603 | 4 |
| 0xedfb…3c1c | 239 | $19.4k | $7.6k | 3 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 87 | $11.0k | $-11.0k | 4 |
| 0xa58d…b9b8 | 142 | $10.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 4 total · Event board
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
open · $71.4k
62.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?
open · $62.7k
26.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
open · $54.7k
10.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?
open · $54.2k
5.5%
| 0x1ee9…197f | $3.9k | $2.3k | $1.6k | $-704 |
| 0x4bed…7574 | $3.8k | $1.8k | $1.9k | $123 |
| 0x9797…c193 | $3.7k | $2.4k | $1.3k | $-1.2k |
| 0x9aeb…2729 | $3.7k | $3.3k | $430 | $-2.8k |
| 0x7d1b…e75c | $3.4k | $3.1k | $277 | $-2.9k |
| 0x7d3e…534e | $3.0k | $1.9k | $1.1k | $-731 |
| 0x733c…851f | $2.6k | $217 | $2.4k | $2.2k |
| 0xa58d…b9b8 | $2.4k | $1.6k | $797 | $-848 |
| $-5.6k |
| 4 |
| 0x2c39…56dc | 47 | $9.9k | $-3.2k | 4 |
| 0x5cac…58de | 65 | $8.5k | $-868 | 1 |
| 0x9aeb…2729 | 59 | $8.4k | $-3.9k | 4 |
| 0x733c…851f | 82 | $8.2k | $2.2k | 3 |
| 0x7d1b…e75c | 208 | $8.1k | $-6.4k | 3 |
| 0x7d3e…534e | 59 | $7.6k | $-1.6k | 2 |
