0x0cfec4bdb5b2060bba705259a76c489a9b0cc36da5edad65ecd796f461a89af5
As of Sep 23, 2026, “Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $857.5k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 0.6% · CLOB volume $857.5k · whales 24h net $-98 (4 wallets) · 7d net $-176 · 24/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.6%
Yes
Implied No
99.4%
No
Volume
$857.5k
CLOB
Traders
1,332
20,856 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$-98
Buy
$101
Sell
$198
Whales
4
Last 7 days
Net flow
$-176
Buy
$345
Sell
$521
Whales
8
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb886…81b3 | $4.9k | $499 | $4.4k | $3.9k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $3.5k | $3.5k | $0 | $-3.5k |
| 0xeee9…f66f | $1.4k | $1.1k | $264 | $-829 |
| 0xe8a0…3aea | $735 | $277 | $458 | $181 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 1,033 | $354.9k | $326.9k | 1 |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | 153 | $254.8k | $-239.9k | 9 |
| 0xd600…b66e | 2,709 | $142.3k | $-135.0k | 20 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 231 | $120.5k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
24 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $24.6k
13.5%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $10.0k
9.8%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $301.5k
7.5%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.06M
5.6%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $916.9k
5.3%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.5k
4.2%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $790.8k
1.9%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $834.9k
1.8%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.4k
1.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $5.05M
1.7%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.48M
1.4%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.28M
1.1%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $823.6k
1.1%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $642.6k
1.1%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.6k
1.1%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $689.6k
0.9%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.3k
0.9%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.8k
0.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.5k
0.7%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $857.5k
0.6%
| 0x6334…227f | $684 | $583 | $101 | $-482 |
| 0x0978…00e6 | $351 | $250 | $101 | $-149 |
| 0x7b0f…145c | $256 | $156 | $100 | $-56 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $243 | $243 | $0 | $-243 |
| 0x4cf2…e31c | $200 | $2 | $198 | $197 |
| 0x57a2…4012 | $199 | $199 | $0 | $-199 |
| 0xff4b…d019 | $188 | $1 | $187 | $186 |
| 0x3de2…d073 | $176 | $176 | $0 | $-176 |
| $-111.8k |
| 1 |
| 0x9351…9e4d | 270 | $79.2k | $-13.7k | 1 |
| 0x8476…5418 | 90 | $69.8k | $-13.8k | 1 |
| 0x47ab…95df | 88 | $54.6k | $-50.1k | 1 |
| 0x0029…d342 | 120 | $54.1k | $-44.5k | 4 |
| 0xdc4b…dbca | 80 | $44.6k | $-38.3k | 1 |
| 0x771d…440e | 27 | $39.4k | $-2.3k | 1 |
