0x4567b275e6b667a6217f5cb4f06a797d3a1eaf1d0281fb5bc8c75e2046ae7e57
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 8% YES on Polymarket with $18.39M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 8.3% · CLOB volume $18.39M · whales 24h net $5.7k (39 wallets) · 7d net $50.4k · 31/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
8.3%
Yes
Implied No
91.8%
No
Volume
$18.39M
CLOB
Traders
23,676
195,840 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
8.1% → 8.2% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$5.7k
Buy
$9.3k
Sell
$3.6k
Whales
39
Last 7 days
Net flow
$50.4k
Buy
$123.7k
Sell
$73.2k
Whales
198
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3d84…086b | $114.8k | $8.7k | $106.0k | $97.3k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $61.5k | $60.3k | $1.3k | $-59.0k |
| 0x58dc…e95c | $58.0k | $52.0k | $6.0k | $-46.0k |
| 0x608c…37d4 | $56.2k | $36.9k | $19.2k | $-17.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 17,181 | $5.26M | $-5.23M | 23 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 13,578 | $2.54M | $-2.47M | 52 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 10,309 | $2.02M | $-2.02M | 22 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,168 | $1.66M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.43M
20.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.66M
13.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.69M
11.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.56M
8.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.39M
8.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.04M
4.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.57M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.27M
2.6%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.63M
1.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $702.4k
1.7%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.26M
1.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.57M
1.5%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.5%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.21M
1.1%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.1%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.91M
1.0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.67M
0.9%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.24M
0.8%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.24M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.81M
0.4%
| 0xb4ee…cc59 | $28.3k | $13.8k | $14.6k | $782 |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | $23.6k | $23.6k | $0 | $-23.6k |
| 0x50f4…5e6a | $22.4k | $3.2k | $19.2k | $16.0k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $22.4k | $20.0k | $2.4k | $-17.6k |
| 0xbbfb…4d8d | $20.9k | $14.4k | $6.5k | $-8.0k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $18.8k | $18.8k | $0 | $-18.8k |
| 0x6f08…bfa7 | $13.8k | $13.8k | $0 | $-13.8k |
| 0xce44…3002 | $13.8k | $13.8k | $0 | $-13.8k |
| $-1.65M |
| 30 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,552 | $1.45M | $-697.9k | 42 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 1,048 | $1.22M | $266.7k | 2 |
| 0x6727…5b6d | 52 | $1.10M | $1.09M | 2 |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | 3,857 | $981.1k | $-925.5k | 50 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 253 | $864.5k | $-847.2k | 44 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,745 | $851.6k | $-850.0k | 31 |
