0xce9a5fa30fe74e323b4a8f15afbb0b7a41a537aa880779ddf7dee22223b2f34a
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $10.57M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.5% · CLOB volume $10.57M · whales 24h net $263 (10 wallets) · 7d net $285.9k · 31/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.5%
Yes
Implied No
98.5%
No
Volume
$10.57M
CLOB
Traders
11,495
112,997 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.1% → 1.7% (+0.6pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$263
Buy
$14.7k
Sell
$14.4k
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$285.9k
Buy
$359.4k
Sell
$73.5k
Whales
83
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | $464.3k | $236.2k | $228.0k | $-8.2k |
| 0xb664…8669 | $230.6k | $145.5k | $85.1k | $-60.5k |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | $201.3k | $168.3k | $33.0k | $-135.3k |
| 0x8ac9…92d3 | $99.3k | $78.1k | $21.2k | $-57.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 17,181 | $5.26M | $-5.23M | 23 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 13,578 | $2.54M | $-2.47M | 52 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 10,309 | $2.02M | $-2.02M | 22 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,168 | $1.66M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.43M
20.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.66M
13.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.69M
11.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.56M
8.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.39M
8.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.04M
4.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.57M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.27M
2.6%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.63M
1.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $702.4k
1.7%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.26M
1.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.57M
1.5%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.5%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.21M
1.1%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.1%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.91M
1.0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.67M
0.9%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.24M
0.8%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.24M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.81M
0.4%
| 0x7551…b6b1 | $67.7k | $2.0k | $65.7k | $63.8k |
| 0x0742…1b48 | $60.3k | $1.2k | $59.0k | $57.8k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $57.7k | $57.4k | $306 | $-57.1k |
| 0xcd29…fd24 | $56.8k | $47.7k | $9.1k | $-38.6k |
| 0xc3b1…9792 | $54.9k | $45.0k | $9.9k | $-35.1k |
| 0xfb94…494f | $53.1k | $53.1k | $0 | $-53.1k |
| 0x2c64…2099 | $39.1k | $38.7k | $413 | $-38.3k |
| 0xc041…ba3f | $35.5k | $22.1k | $13.4k | $-8.6k |
| $-1.65M |
| 30 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,552 | $1.45M | $-697.9k | 42 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 1,048 | $1.22M | $266.7k | 2 |
| 0x6727…5b6d | 52 | $1.10M | $1.09M | 2 |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | 3,857 | $981.1k | $-925.5k | 50 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 253 | $864.5k | $-847.2k | 44 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,745 | $851.6k | $-850.0k | 31 |
