Multi-outcome · 50 open
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $15.10M
20.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $11.55M
12.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $17.63M
11.8%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.28M
9.3%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.76M
9.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.57M
4.8%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $6.97M
2.5%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.87M
2.5%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.29M
2.4%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.88M
1.7%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.15M
1.6%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.13M
1.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.70M
1.4%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.85M
1.3%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.56M
1.1%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.55M
1.1%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $35.13M
0.9%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $11.96M
0.9%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $15.35M
0.8%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $26.38M
0.7%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $25.84M
0.7%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.62M
0.7%
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.68M
0.7%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $28.55M
0.5%
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