0x7ad403c3508f8e3912940fd1a913f227591145ca0614074208e0b962d5fcc422
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 21% YES on Polymarket with $16.43M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 20.6% · CLOB volume $16.43M · whales 24h net $3.1k (20 wallets) · 7d net $71.4k · 31/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
20.6%
Yes
Implied No
79.3%
No
Volume
$16.43M
CLOB
Traders
11,036
171,461 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
20.7% → 20.6% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.1k
Buy
$4.6k
Sell
$1.5k
Whales
20
Last 7 days
Net flow
$71.4k
Buy
$109.5k
Sell
$38.1k
Whales
102
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc2de…6781 | $782.1k | $406.4k | $375.7k | $-30.7k |
| 0xcfee…ffcd | $202.1k | $101.1k | $101.0k | $-120 |
| 0x2e4d…f703 | $186.5k | $184.2k | $2.3k | $-181.8k |
| 0x8628…6f0b | $134.4k | $106.9k | $27.6k | $-79.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 17,181 | $5.26M | $-5.23M | 23 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 13,578 | $2.54M | $-2.47M | 52 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 10,309 | $2.02M | $-2.02M | 22 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,168 | $1.66M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.43M
20.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.66M
13.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.69M
11.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.56M
8.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.39M
8.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.04M
4.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.57M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.27M
2.6%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.63M
1.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $702.4k
1.7%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.26M
1.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.57M
1.5%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.5%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.21M
1.1%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.1%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.91M
1.0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.67M
0.9%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.24M
0.8%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.24M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.81M
0.4%
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $64.9k | $49.3k | $15.7k | $-33.6k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $57.4k | $57.4k | $45 | $-57.4k |
| 0x9d84…1344 | $54.0k | $54.0k | $0 | $-54.0k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $39.7k | $25.8k | $13.9k | $-11.9k |
| 0x2da3…3895 | $32.8k | $25.2k | $7.6k | $-17.5k |
| 0x0bef…3b06 | $31.1k | $31.0k | $57 | $-31.0k |
| 0xa49b…4c40 | $30.5k | $23.1k | $7.4k | $-15.7k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $29.6k | $29.6k | $0 | $-29.6k |
| $-1.65M |
| 30 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,552 | $1.45M | $-697.9k | 42 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 1,048 | $1.22M | $266.7k | 2 |
| 0x6727…5b6d | 52 | $1.10M | $1.09M | 2 |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | 3,857 | $981.1k | $-925.5k | 50 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 253 | $864.5k | $-847.2k | 44 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,745 | $851.6k | $-850.0k | 31 |
