0xf232b565995e4b3a3e7fa6cef775eeff1cecd20ad7c013cb9fc8dadabfe279a9
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 13% YES on Polymarket with $13.66M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 13.1% · CLOB volume $13.66M · whales 24h net $332 (7 wallets) · 7d net $13.9k · 31/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
13.1%
Yes
Implied No
87.0%
No
Volume
$13.66M
CLOB
Traders
7,695
80,204 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
13.0% → 13.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$332
Buy
$394
Sell
$62
Whales
7
Last 7 days
Net flow
$13.9k
Buy
$28.3k
Sell
$14.4k
Whales
48
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc2de…6781 | $437.4k | $70.0k | $367.4k | $297.4k |
| 0xb1a2…372a | $77.6k | $74.4k | $3.2k | $-71.1k |
| 0x84d4…77a9 | $73.7k | $46.0k | $27.7k | $-18.3k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $61.3k | $49.4k | $11.9k | $-37.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 17,181 | $5.26M | $-5.23M | 23 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 13,578 | $2.54M | $-2.47M | 52 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 10,309 | $2.02M | $-2.02M | 22 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,168 | $1.66M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.43M
20.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.66M
13.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.69M
11.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.56M
8.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.39M
8.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.04M
4.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.57M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.27M
2.6%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.63M
1.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $702.4k
1.7%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.26M
1.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.57M
1.5%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.5%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.21M
1.1%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.1%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.91M
1.0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.67M
0.9%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.24M
0.8%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.24M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.81M
0.4%
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $58.0k | $57.4k | $590 | $-56.8k |
| 0x9d84…1344 | $35.4k | $35.2k | $250 | $-34.9k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $33.2k | $33.2k | $0 | $-33.2k |
| 0xfb94…494f | $30.6k | $30.6k | $0 | $-30.6k |
| 0xde7c…c933 | $30.0k | $28.8k | $1.2k | $-27.6k |
| 0x54ab…e8f6 | $29.3k | $17.5k | $11.8k | $-5.8k |
| 0x6139…6b7a | $25.9k | $25.9k | $0 | $-25.9k |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | $23.6k | $22.0k | $1.6k | $-20.3k |
| $-1.65M |
| 30 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,552 | $1.45M | $-697.9k | 42 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 1,048 | $1.22M | $266.7k | 2 |
| 0x6727…5b6d | 52 | $1.10M | $1.09M | 2 |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | 3,857 | $981.1k | $-925.5k | 50 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 253 | $864.5k | $-847.2k | 44 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,745 | $851.6k | $-850.0k | 31 |
