0xea83bc4082ce1443330407c42792b9c58a2f7467cd845aeec5dd3885c7b40671
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $702.4k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.7% · CLOB volume $702.4k · whales 24h net $3.0k (4 wallets) · 7d net $4.2k · 31/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.7%
Yes
Implied No
98.3%
No
Volume
$702.4k
CLOB
Traders
169
866 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.6% → 1.7% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.0k
Buy
$4.2k
Sell
$1.1k
Whales
4
Last 7 days
Net flow
$4.2k
Buy
$5.9k
Sell
$1.7k
Whales
11
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | $131.2k | $131.2k | $0 | $-131.2k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $109.5k | $5.2k | $104.3k | $99.1k |
| 0x16cb…2704 | $98.7k | $98.6k | $115 | $-98.4k |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | $95.3k | $944 | $94.4k | $93.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 17,181 | $5.26M | $-5.23M | 23 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 13,578 | $2.54M | $-2.47M | 52 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 10,307 | $2.02M | $-2.02M | 22 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,168 | $1.66M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.43M
20.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.66M
13.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.69M
11.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.56M
8.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.39M
8.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.04M
4.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.57M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.27M
2.6%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.63M
1.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $702.4k
1.7%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.26M
1.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.57M
1.5%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.5%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.21M
1.1%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.1%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.91M
1.0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.67M
0.9%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.24M
0.8%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.24M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.81M
0.4%
| 0xf559…f462 | $89.5k | $1.3k | $88.1k | $86.8k |
| 0xd47d…322b | $70.5k | $2.2k | $68.3k | $66.2k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $61.5k | $61.0k | $544 | $-60.5k |
| 0x17e5…3d19 | $58.3k | $57.5k | $805 | $-56.7k |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | $51.4k | $51.4k | $23 | $-51.3k |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | $45.5k | $45.5k | $0 | $-45.5k |
| 0xb687…aee5 | $36.0k | $36.0k | $0 | $-36.0k |
| 0x60c6…247f | $33.0k | $396 | $32.6k | $32.2k |
| $-1.65M |
| 30 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,552 | $1.45M | $-697.9k | 42 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 1,048 | $1.22M | $266.7k | 2 |
| 0x6727…5b6d | 52 | $1.10M | $1.09M | 2 |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | 3,854 | $981.1k | $-925.5k | 50 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 253 | $864.5k | $-847.2k | 44 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,744 | $851.6k | $-850.0k | 31 |
