0x2053d8515f1b8cbeea4ccdb56e60e89c2617e43a8660d95166b8e71d27865277
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 9% YES on Polymarket with $12.56M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 8.8% · CLOB volume $12.56M · whales 24h net $1.1k (20 wallets) · 7d net $80.2k · 31/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
8.8%
Yes
Implied No
91.2%
No
Volume
$12.56M
CLOB
Traders
14,385
126,216 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
9.0% → 8.8% (-0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.1k
Buy
$3.7k
Sell
$2.6k
Whales
20
Last 7 days
Net flow
$80.2k
Buy
$124.1k
Sell
$43.9k
Whales
94
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcfee…ffcd | $320.7k | $161.3k | $159.4k | $-1.9k |
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | $140.5k | $17.4k | $123.2k | $105.8k |
| 0x95da…b238 | $106.1k | $80.6k | $25.5k | $-55.2k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $61.9k | $57.9k | $4.0k | $-54.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 17,181 | $5.26M | $-5.23M | 23 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 13,578 | $2.54M | $-2.47M | 52 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 10,309 | $2.02M | $-2.02M | 22 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,168 | $1.66M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.43M
20.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.66M
13.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.69M
11.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.56M
8.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.39M
8.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.04M
4.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.57M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.27M
2.6%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.63M
1.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $702.4k
1.7%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.26M
1.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.57M
1.5%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.5%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.21M
1.1%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.40M
1.1%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.91M
1.0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.67M
0.9%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.24M
0.8%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.24M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.81M
0.4%
| 0x6cf9…9d9f | $53.2k | $34.7k | $18.4k | $-16.3k |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | $44.8k | $41.4k | $3.4k | $-38.1k |
| 0x2ce3…966b | $39.4k | $32.4k | $7.0k | $-25.4k |
| 0xe4e0…f95f | $31.8k | $26.0k | $5.8k | $-20.2k |
| 0xcf19…6402 | $31.4k | $16.6k | $14.8k | $-1.9k |
| 0xfc12…18a9 | $30.5k | $27.7k | $2.8k | $-24.9k |
| 0x31a6…1528 | $30.4k | $27.4k | $3.0k | $-24.4k |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | $28.5k | $25.9k | $2.6k | $-23.3k |
| $-1.65M |
| 30 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,552 | $1.45M | $-697.9k | 42 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 1,048 | $1.22M | $266.7k | 2 |
| 0x6727…5b6d | 52 | $1.10M | $1.09M | 2 |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | 3,857 | $981.1k | $-925.5k | 50 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 253 | $864.5k | $-847.2k | 44 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,745 | $851.6k | $-850.0k | 31 |
