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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Active 6 days left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?

0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 92.5% · CLOB volume $932.4k · whales 24h net $136.4k (155 wallets) · 7d net $149.0k · 4/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

92.5%

Yes

Implied No

7.5%

Volume

$932.4k

CLOB

Traders

328

2,090 trades

Yes 92.5%No 7.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

87.0% → 93.0% (+6.0pp)

See all movers →

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$136.4k

Buy

$245.1k

Sell

$108.7k

Whales

155

Last 7 days

Net flow

$149.0k

Buy

$264.9k

Sell

$115.9k

Whales

165

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 92.5%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($136.4k)
•7d whale net still positive ($149.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 19:29:05

1428.6¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-04 19:29:05

107.5¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-04 19:29:02

108.7¢$7

NOBUY2026-08-04 19:29:02

1250.0¢$7

NOBUY2026-08-04 19:29:02

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xe3cb…ac21	$64.5k	$49.4k	$15.0k	$-34.4k
0x7c5b…26e2	$36.2k	$22.4k	$13.8k	$-8.7k
0xfe6e…074e	$29.0k	$15.4k	$13.6k	$-1.8k
0xbd04…fbb0	$22.3k	$2.5k	$19.8k	$17.4k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xe3cb…ac21	278	$561.4k	$-347.9k	5
0x2d99…4ca3	296	$490.4k	$-380.7k	4
0x7f9e…3a0e	146	$415.5k	$-12.5k	6
0xeb49…693e	277	$395.1k

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