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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Active 30 days left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

0xc1556ecbe613e403dfb9e38bf1b25a8aee2aa1687f2b343bc896dd2c9763ed74

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 66.0% · CLOB volume $803.8k · whales 24h net $82.0k (176 wallets) · 7d net $134.9k · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

66.0%

Yes

Implied No

34.0%

Volume

$803.8k

CLOB

Traders

525

2,718 trades

Yes 66.0%No 34.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$82.0k

Buy

$158.2k

Sell

$76.2k

Whales

176

Last 7 days

Net flow

$134.9k

Buy

$260.9k

Sell

$126.0k

Whales

264

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 66.0%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($82.0k)
•7d whale net still positive ($134.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:42:50

156.2¢$40

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:42:50

63.0¢$8

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:42:50

64.0¢$6

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:42:50

64.0¢$3

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:42:50

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x162f…798d	$29.5k	$15.4k	$14.1k	$-1.3k
0x614d…1546	$24.1k	$10.8k	$13.4k	$2.6k
0x21ff…0d71	$18.6k	$18.6k	$0	$-18.6k
0xf9b7…60a4	$15.9k	$11.5k	$4.4k	$-7.1k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xe3cb…ac21	167	$416.7k	$-243.1k	3
0x7447…a16d	146	$320.3k	$75.9k	3
0xe234…304a	533	$308.6k	$-19.3k	4
0x7f9e…3a0e	31	$206.8k

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