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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Active 14 days left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 81.5% · CLOB volume $729.4k · whales 24h net $87.1k (186 wallets) · 7d net $316.5k · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

81.5%

Yes

Implied No

18.5%

Volume

$729.4k

CLOB

Traders

994

7,393 trades

Yes 81.5%No 18.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$87.1k

Buy

$161.9k

Sell

$74.8k

Whales

186

Last 7 days

Net flow

$316.5k

Buy

$573.7k

Sell

$257.2k

Whales

362

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 81.5%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($87.1k)
•7d whale net still positive ($316.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-08-02 05:23:08

19.3¢$28

NOBUY2026-08-02 05:23:08

500.0¢$38

NOBUY2026-08-02 05:23:08

526.3¢$105

YESBUY2026-08-02 05:17:38

19.0¢$20

NOBUY2026-08-02 05:17:38

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x60a9…5a71	$63.6k	$35.8k	$27.8k	$-8.0k
0x6cd8…d98d	$54.8k	$29.3k	$25.5k	$-3.8k
0x2525…b919	$43.0k	$24.2k	$18.8k	$-5.4k
0xe3cb…ac21	$42.3k	$17.1k	$25.1k	$8.0k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xe3cb…ac21	167	$416.7k	$-243.1k	3
0x7447…a16d	147	$337.5k	$58.7k	3
0xe234…304a	533	$308.6k	$-19.3k	4
0x7f9e…3a0e	31	$206.8k

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